Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tillman | 36 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| T. Freeman | 33 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Allen | 33 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Coleman | 26 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Orr | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Washington | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. van Kempen | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| F. Dobbs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Long | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Smith | 35 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Monroe | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Vaughan | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Cornelius | 24 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| R. Pearson | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Birdsong | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Morrison | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter