Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +40 (97-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 31 | 7-14 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| S. Lewis | 29 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Keeler | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Clark | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Hanson | 15 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Henning | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Darling | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lewis | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quayle | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Formisano | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Newbold | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Wesley | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 28 | - |
| J. Myaer | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Geiger | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| P. Williams | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Williams | 15 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Niang | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Sirju | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Lee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter