Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -14 (75-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| R. Lowery | 23 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 20 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Johnson | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Searcy | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| L. Warren | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Perry | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P. Williams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Thomas | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Matthews | 38 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 14-17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 22 | - |
| D. James | 35 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 5-11 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| J. McNeal | 33 | 7-23 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | - |
| L. Hayward | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Burke | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Acker | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Butler III | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Hazel | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter