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2008-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% -
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 23.7% 76.3% -
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Log Adjusted 4.2% 95.8% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -14 (75-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 32 4-9 0-0 5-10 13 4 2 1 0 13 24 -
R. Lowery 23 9-13 2-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 21 7 -
C. Johnson 20 4-9 1-3 3-5 11 1 0 0 1 12 14 -
M. Johnson 19 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
K. Huelsman 19 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 8 6 -
C. Little 18 2-5 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
D. Searcy 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 2 1 1 7 -
L. Warren 14 1-2 0-0 5-9 1 2 1 0 2 7 7 -
M. Perry 13 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
P. Williams 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Fabrizius 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 3 2 -
S. Thomas 8 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Matthews 38 7-12 0-3 14-17 7 1 1 0 3 28 22 -
D. James 35 6-13 2-6 5-11 7 8 2 0 2 19 21 -
J. McNeal 33 7-23 1-8 1-3 6 3 1 0 3 16 0 -
L. Hayward 24 2-7 0-1 1-1 8 0 0 0 3 5 3 -
D. Cubillan 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
D. Burke 19 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Acker 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Butler III 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Hazel 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter