Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +18 (68-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.