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2008-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +12 (66-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Richard 36 7-8 1-1 1-1 6 4 4 0 3 16 19 -
E. Zastoupil 26 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
J. Miller 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 7 -1 -
M. Nelson 23 3-6 1-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
D. Williams 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Walker 15 1-4 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Steele 15 3-8 0-2 0-1 1 1 2 0 1 6 1 -
R. Royal 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 0 3 -
J. Simmons 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Brewer 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
N. Hedgecock 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Sizemore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Trampler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Thompson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Hence 1 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 35 2-5 2-3 9-12 4 1 0 0 3 15 12 -
M. Kenyi 33 1-8 0-5 2-3 1 2 1 0 3 4 -3 -
J. Lin 31 6-12 3-6 9-9 1 1 5 2 7 24 14 -
K. Wright 29 5-10 0-0 2-2 13 2 0 4 1 12 20 -
P. Boehm 20 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 -3 -
A. Pusar 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 3 4 -
D. Miller 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 2 9 -
E. Harris 14 1-3 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 3 0 3 10 -
O. McNally 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Swiatek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
E. Groszyk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter