Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 34 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 34 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Harden | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Calegari | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Carter | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Malik | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Silva | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tilford | 36 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. Coleman | 30 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| L. Watson | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Hayles | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Davis | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Ross | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Douglas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Sherrer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| P. Tabet | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Tabet | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Parks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Ford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter