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2008-11-29

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.8 (11.2 off)

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Oliver 34 4-12 0-3 2-4 3 4 4 0 4 10 5 -
T. Lowenthal 34 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
J. Harden 33 4-9 2-5 3-6 4 1 0 0 2 13 7 -
D. Calegari 25 2-7 0-1 4-5 5 2 2 0 1 8 9 -
K. Brucculeri 24 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 11 3 -
D. Carter 20 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
A. Malik 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
R. Silva 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Oestreicher 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Tilford 36 7-14 1-6 2-2 4 5 2 0 2 17 12 -
D. Coleman 30 6-9 0-2 7-8 11 2 1 2 2 19 24 -
L. Watson 26 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 2 2 -
D. Hayles 25 3-6 1-3 2-3 3 2 1 1 4 9 6 -
B. Davis 23 5-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 2 3 11 8 -
D. Ross 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
R. Douglas 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
B. Sherrer 13 1-2 0-0 4-4 1 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
P. Tabet 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
J. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Tabet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Parks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B.J. Ford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter