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2008-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks NJIT Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Margin 86.7% 13.3% -10.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.8% 29.2% - โœ“

Actual: NJIT Highlanders -12 (38-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Zeglinski 32 6-12 5-10 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 17 13 -
J. von Rosenberg 32 3-7 2-6 4-6 3 6 2 0 2 12 14 -
M. Turner 31 2-6 1-2 2-2 8 1 1 0 2 7 9 -
M. Sabia 27 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 1 3 5 -
K. Estes 22 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 0 -2 -
A. Torres 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
G. Maciel 18 2-5 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
C. Brothers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 -
D. Bookman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. U'u 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

NJIT Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Garris 37 3-10 1-6 2-4 12 1 1 1 4 9 10 -
J. Wilson 36 6-18 2-9 2-4 4 2 3 0 1 16 6 -
B. Lyn 27 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 9 4 -
J. Garris 25 0-9 0-7 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 0 -4 -
R. Regis 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 0 3 -
T. Schickel 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
D. Stonkus 18 0-0 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 1 2 0 5 -
M. Maczko 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter