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2008-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 42.0% 58.0% -
Bradley-Terry 66.2% 33.8% -
Margin 61.9% 38.1% -2.7 (9.3 off)

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. McConathy 25 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 7 1 0 7 2 4 -
D. White 24 6-14 0-2 3-4 12 1 1 5 0 15 20 -
W. Mosley 24 7-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 3 3 2 15 18 -
K. Hancock 22 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 3 -2 -
D. Petravicius 18 1-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Jones 18 8-14 3-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 21 6 -
C.J. Clark 16 3-7 0-1 3-4 6 3 1 0 2 9 10 -
M. McConathy 15 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 3 2 -
C. Clark 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
K. Porterie 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Brooks 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Knight 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
D. Watkins 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson 35 8-16 2-6 10-14 5 3 7 0 4 28 23 -
J. Williams 31 6-16 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 3 0 13 6 -
J. Reed 29 1-4 0-1 0-2 3 4 1 0 1 2 5 -
J. Boyd 22 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
C. Anthony 15 3-7 0-2 1-3 5 1 2 1 1 7 8 -
A. Ford 15 0-6 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 4 3 -3 -
G. Blakely 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
B. Rogers 12 0-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Holt 12 1-4 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -2 -
A. Savannah 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
A. Jones 5 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 5 5 -

* = starter