Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +1 (60-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson | 42 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Reed | 42 | 6-17 | 4-12 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 5 | - |
| K. Barber | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Waller | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 28 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Barrett | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lett | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Knox | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| F. Aihe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 36 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-7 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Johnson | 33 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 32 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| L. Warren | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Johnson | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Thomas | 16 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Searcy | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Williams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| R. Lowery | 8 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Perry | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter