Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys -15 (79-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 36 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Walton | 34 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Summers | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Morgan | 23 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 23 | - |
| M. Gray | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Green | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Allen | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Roe | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Thornton | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. Ibok | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Lucious | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Herzog | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anderson | 39 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Harris | 38 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 13 | - |
| O. Muonelo | 35 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Eaton | 23 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| I. Thomas | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Page | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Brown | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Moses | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kirkland | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Sidorakis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter