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2008-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 78.5% 21.5% -
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% -
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -
Log Adjusted 83.8% 16.2% -

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys -15 (79-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 36 5-11 1-2 1-1 1 10 1 2 1 12 14 -
T. Walton 34 7-10 1-1 1-2 2 5 1 0 1 16 13 -
D. Summers 24 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 6 9 -
R. Morgan 23 9-11 0-0 11-13 5 2 1 0 3 29 23 -
M. Gray 19 5-6 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 1 3 12 13 -
D. Green 16 1-5 0-0 2-3 8 0 2 0 0 4 9 -
C. Allen 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Roe 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 7 5 -
A. Thornton 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
I. Ibok 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
K. Lucious 4 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
I. Dahlman 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Herzog 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Anderson 39 3-8 2-7 5-7 3 3 0 0 2 13 9 -
T. Harris 38 7-11 3-4 4-7 6 1 0 1 5 21 13 -
O. Muonelo 35 6-13 3-7 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 15 10 -
B. Eaton 23 5-13 2-4 2-2 4 5 3 0 5 14 8 -
I. Thomas 22 2-7 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Page 18 3-6 1-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
A. Brown 14 1-3 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Moses 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Kirkland 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
N. Sidorakis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter