Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Western Carolina Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Carolina Catamounts -1 (58-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Spain | 34 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 10-11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| R. Williams | 34 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 33 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. White | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Shelton | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Davis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Horton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Waginger | 37 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Robinson | 31 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| H. Mutombo | 31 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| B. Giles | 25 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -6 | - |
| G. Avery | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Gailliard | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| R. Gordon | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Gallagher | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Russell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Parker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter