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2008-11-26

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +18 (62-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. McCoy 35 3-9 1-2 1-2 1 4 4 0 5 8 3 -
B. Fall 30 4-4 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 5 3 8 11 -
D. Williams 27 6-13 0-2 4-5 2 1 2 0 4 16 4 -
R. Harp 20 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
P. Dia 19 0-1 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 2 0 6 -
M. Walker 19 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -6 -
F. Otis 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 2 7 -
A. Malone 13 2-3 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
R. Nyakundi 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Haynes 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ruzgas 36 5-14 3-9 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 13 7 -
J. Ebie 28 1-2 0-0 5-8 3 5 3 0 4 7 12 -
K. Rose 26 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 3 3 -
K. Butler 24 3-7 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 6 8 -
K. Langford 23 2-5 0-0 5-5 2 0 0 1 2 9 5 -
Z. Buljan 23 3-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 2 8 7 -
R. Moss 22 5-5 0-0 2-3 3 2 1 0 4 12 9 -
J. Ortiz 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Mitchem 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter