Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +4 (57-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 40 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Coble | 38 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| M. Thompson | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Nash | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Shurna | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Ryan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Rowley | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Capocci | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Howard | 38 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| G. Hayward | 37 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| R. Nored | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Mack | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| W. Veasley | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Vanzant | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Z. Hahn | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Jukes | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Leiendecker | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| G. Butcher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter