Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (102-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McAlarney | 39 | 12-26 | 10-18 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 19 | - |
| T. Jackson | 33 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Z. Hillesland | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| L. Harangody | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| R. Ayers | 27 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Zeller | 22 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Peoples | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Nash | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Scott | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 30 | 13-19 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 20 | - |
| T. Lawson | 29 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 30 | - |
| D. Green | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| W. Ellington | 27 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Davis | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Frasor | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Drew II | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| W. Graves | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter