Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | +16.6 | ✗ (25.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -9 (67-76). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Morgan | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| I. Koggu | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 11 | - |
| JeJuan Brown | 27 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Boone | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Lance | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. McKinney | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Ayers | 15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Bryant | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Handy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lester Hudson | 38 | 7-21 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 9 | - |
| M. Weddle | 36 | 7-22 | 5-16 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 5 | - |
| D. Riedewald | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M.J. Brown | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| B. Simmons | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| E. Massey | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Lane | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Irarrazabal | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Clayton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mpondo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter