Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Saint Francis Red Flash | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Flash -24 (74-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Breske | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| L. Prochaska | 0 | 13-17 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 27 | - |
| T. Pontius | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Goldsberry | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. McCoy | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
Saint Francis Red Flash
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Killian | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Daly | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Leach | 0 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| B. Hodges | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Lilley | 0 | 10-14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 5 | - |
* = starter