Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -29 (69-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 26 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| E. Davis | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| W. Ellington | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Lawson | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| L. Drew II | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. Graves | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Frasor | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Watts | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Campbell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Moody | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Wooten | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sim | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 21 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| T. Porter | 21 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Crittle | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Catron | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 16 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Wiley | 16 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Williams | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Brown | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Odia | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Longmire | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Voogd | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| F. Dorsainvil | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fearn | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter