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2008-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Wagner Seahawks Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% -
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Olsen 0 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 7 3 -
S. McBride 0 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
C. Stokes 0 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
A. Reed 0 4-9 0-0 3-4 5 4 1 0 4 11 8 -
K. Clark 0 2-4 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 1 0 8 7 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Foley 31 1-6 0-2 4-4 3 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
N. Scott 24 1-4 1-2 3-6 1 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
N. Agho 23 3-8 0-3 2-2 4 5 1 1 1 8 10 -
A. Ampim 22 3-4 1-2 0-2 2 0 2 2 3 7 6 -
J. Miller 19 1-2 0-0 1-3 0 1 0 1 3 3 0 -
K.J. Matsui 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 2 -
J. Bova 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
K. Bulger 13 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
Z. Crimmins 11 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
S. Egee 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Mase 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
D. Trepanier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Staab 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Dwyer 0 3-9 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 2 9 4 -
C. Frazier 0 3-6 0-0 2-4 10 1 2 0 0 8 15 -
D. Browne 0 4-12 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 8 3 -
S. Yee 0 2-10 2-8 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 6 3 -
J. Lomax 0 7-9 0-0 6-10 19 4 1 1 5 20 31 -

* = starter