Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.3% | 10.7% | -15.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +3 (93-90). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Maynor | 41 | 11-20 | 6-12 | 7-9 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 24 | - |
| J. Rodriguez | 39 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Rozzell | 25 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Burgess | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Larry Sanders | 22 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| E. Nixon | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Kearse | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Gwynn | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Saintil | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| K. Pishchalnikov | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Legan | 45 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| S. Hinnant | 44 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| B. Young | 41 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. Joyner | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Morrow | 25 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| J. Abrams | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Wynn | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Turner | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Kupets | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter