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2008-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 8-27 5-17 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 23 0 -
J. Mason 37 7-12 1-2 1-4 5 7 0 1 1 16 16 -
C. Atchley 34 2-5 1-2 2-2 7 1 0 2 1 7 11 -
D. James 32 4-10 1-2 2-2 12 1 2 0 4 11 12 -
G. Johnson 26 5-11 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 10 9 -
A. Wangmene 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
V. Ward 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
D. Pittman 5 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
C. Chapman 5 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Balbay 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McAlarney 40 7-11 5-9 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 19 15 -
T. Jackson 39 6-12 2-5 2-4 5 7 3 0 2 16 17 -
L. Harangody 37 11-21 1-1 6-10 13 2 1 1 0 29 25 -
R. Ayers 31 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 6 3 -
Z. Hillesland 30 3-6 0-0 2-5 6 3 0 0 0 8 11 -
L. Zeller 11 1-4 1-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Peoples 9 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Nash 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Schrader 0 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 2 2 8 12 -
A. Barlow 0 5-9 1-3 2-2 8 2 1 0 1 13 14 -
M. Lechlitner 0 3-7 1-2 0-0 0 4 1 1 0 7 6 -
E. Williamson 0 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Bruszewski 0 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 6 7 -

* = starter