Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Powell | 32 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 7 | - |
| P. Roemer | 31 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Posley | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Devine | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 14-16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 20 | - |
| J. Byrd | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| J. Serna | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| W. Brew | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Phippen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Weiner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lowhorn | 36 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 31 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 27 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Bryant | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| B. Wallace | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Quezada | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| H. Taylor | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Morgan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter