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2008-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 7.2% 92.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -23 (69-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Catron * 33 5-8 0-1 7-11 13 6 3 0 3 17 28 -
T. Porter * 28 3-13 2-11 4-4 1 1 1 0 3 12 -1 -
M. Dunigan * 28 8-9 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 1 0 18 20 -
G. Sim * 17 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
L. Longmire * 14 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 7 3 -
K. Brown 20 2-4 0-1 5-7 4 7 1 0 3 9 14 -
T. Williams 15 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 7 5 -
C. Odia 9 2-3 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
N. Fearn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
F. Dorsainvil 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 35 3-11 1-5 6-8 2 3 0 0 4 13 3 -
S. Hillman * 29 7-13 1-3 1-4 5 0 4 0 2 16 10 -
A. Gee * 23 3-10 0-0 6-11 8 0 0 0 2 12 8 -
J. Green * 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
Y. Coleman 20 0-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
M. Torrance 17 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
D. Jemison 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Steele 13 1-3 0-1 6-8 3 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
B. Hollinger 9 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
A. Brock 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter