Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Galick | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. Tresvant | 32 | 5-12 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| R. Haynes | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 25 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4 | - |
| T. Townsend | 25 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Daniels | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Mels | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Wallace | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Rutherford | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 29 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| P. McDonald | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Danridge | 25 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| N. Garth | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Gary | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Toppert | 17 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| W. Brown | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Faris | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Wills | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter