Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mbunga | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Howard | 29 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| M. Navarre | 28 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Bynum | 24 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 23 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| E. Rush | 19 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Henderson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Noonan | 30 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Greene | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Imadiyi | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Garner | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Anderson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Okoye | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Rouse | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter