Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 35 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| N. Raivio | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Stohl | 24 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Knutson | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Sikma | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Ito | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 36 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| V. Oliver | 30 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Calegari | 22 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 21 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Payne | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Silva | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Carter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Malik | 14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter