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2008-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Rice Owls Spread Result
Elo 98.4% 1.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 95.8% 4.2% - โœ“
Margin 99.5% 0.5% -28.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.9% 3.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 92.2% 7.8% - โœ“

Actual: Rice Owls -25 (58-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Allison 0 6-10 0-1 4-6 14 1 1 0 3 16 19 -
J. Morrow 0 6-13 2-4 0-0 4 4 3 1 1 14 12 -
M. Jones 0 3-7 0-1 5-6 10 2 3 1 3 11 17 -
D. Wilson 0 3-11 0-0 7-9 6 1 1 2 3 13 9 -
J. Player 0 4-9 0-0 4-5 3 1 3 0 2 12 8 -

Rice Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Carter 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 0 4 -
M. Mayse 0 4-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
M. Fulton 0 3-12 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 -5 -
T. Watts 0 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Smart 0 4-12 2-7 4-8 3 6 5 0 8 14 8 -

* = starter