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2008-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% -
Bradley-Terry 6.2% 93.8% -
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McGillis 32 4-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 9 1 -
J. Hasquet 30 4-10 3-5 4-5 7 1 0 0 1 15 12 -
B. Qvale 25 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 2 2 4 7 -
R. Staudacher 24 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Johnson 22 4-9 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 4 9 1 -
C. Elgin-Taylor 22 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 3 0 0 4 4 2 -
K. Sharp 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
M. Taylor 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
D. Selvig 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 3 0 3 5 3 -
V. Banny 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Stockton 2 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
T. Hurley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 27 4-6 0-1 4-6 2 0 3 1 2 12 10 -
K. Singler 25 5-9 1-4 2-5 5 3 3 0 0 13 15 -
N. Smith 25 5-10 2-3 2-2 1 1 3 0 3 14 6 -
E. Williams 24 1-6 1-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 4 3 -
G. Henderson 23 5-9 0-2 4-4 7 1 1 0 0 14 14 -
B. Zoubek 18 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 1 8 9 -
L. Thomas 16 1-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
M. Plumlee 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. McClure 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 -
M. Pocius 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
O. Czyz 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter