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2008-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: USC Trojans -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Carroll 36 11-17 3-3 4-5 11 2 3 1 1 29 28 -
Z. Taylor 31 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 5 0 2 3 0 6 -
L. Lyons 27 5-10 0-0 3-8 5 3 2 0 4 13 9 -
M. Denmon 21 2-5 0-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
J.T. Tiller 20 4-6 3-3 3-3 1 3 3 0 1 14 14 -
M. Paul 19 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 7 2 -
K. English 18 1-8 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 -3 -
M. Lawrence 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Ramsey 9 3-5 0-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Safford 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 38 3-8 2-3 3-4 2 5 1 0 8 11 3 -
D. Lewis 34 6-10 2-4 1-3 1 1 2 2 5 15 6 -
L. Washington 30 4-6 0-0 1-3 9 1 0 0 1 9 12 -
D. DeRozan 25 2-9 0-1 4-6 6 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
T. Gibson 19 5-8 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 2 2 11 12 -
K. Wilkinson 16 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Smith 15 2-5 1-3 1-1 1 5 1 0 3 6 5 -
K. Cunningham 14 4-7 0-0 3-7 6 1 2 1 0 11 14 -
M. Simmons 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Diarra 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter