Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Walker | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Brooks | 32 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Hayles | 32 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| R. Provitt | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Fitch | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| I. White | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Kickingstallionsims | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Middlebrooks | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Mundadi | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Butler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McCoy | 33 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. Fall | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Williams | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Malone | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| F. Otis | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P. Dia | 19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Harp | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Walker | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Haynes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter