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2008-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +12.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 87.4% 12.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: Providence Friars +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McDermott 29 4-7 1-1 3-8 14 4 3 1 0 12 27 -
W. Efejuku 27 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 8 8 -
M. Brooks 27 4-11 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
S. Curry 26 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 2 5 -
J. Xavier 25 6-12 5-10 6-6 3 2 3 0 2 23 17 -
J. Kale 25 6-9 0-1 1-1 4 1 1 1 1 13 10 -
B. McKenzie 18 2-4 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 1 2 6 3 -
R. Hanke 17 5-7 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
A. Kellogg 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Baudinet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter