Model Predictions
| Model | Robert Morris Colonials | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +12 (94-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.