Model Predictions
| Model | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +15 (95-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brand | 36 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Hunter | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| E. Bermudez | 32 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Sims | 30 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| I. Butts | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Abraham | 15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Williamson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Webb | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Hughes | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Booth | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wright | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lewis | 40 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| B. Benn | 34 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 30 | - |
| R. Garrison | 34 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| A. Nelson | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Egemonye | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Gordon | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Williamson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Cooley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter