🐻⬇️🏀

Cal Poly Mustangs 64
@
BYU Cougars 76
2008-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 5.1% 94.9% - ✓
Margin 1.1% 98.9% +24.6 ✓ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 22.5% 77.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 10.5% 89.5% - ✓

Actual: BYU Cougars +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelton 36 8-16 0-0 6-8 3 3 3 3 3 22 15 -
W. Dipprey 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 0 7 -
S. Lewis 25 5-11 3-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 15 7 -
C. Thomas 23 4-7 1-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 11 9 -
B. Henning 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 -1 -
L. Keeler 19 1-6 1-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
T. Clark 18 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 -3 -
C. Anderson 17 2-4 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
D. Hanson 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cummard 37 13-17 1-2 1-2 9 2 0 0 7 28 15 -
J. Emery 33 3-3 1-1 2-2 3 3 1 1 1 9 13 -
J. Fredette 33 3-9 1-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 9 5 -
C. Miles 28 12-17 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 24 16 -
J. Tavernari 26 0-11 0-7 0-0 10 3 1 0 1 0 2 -
C. Abouo 15 1-2 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
L. Morgan Jr. 14 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 3 3 0 -
N. Hartsock 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Anderson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter