Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shelton | 36 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| S. Lewis | 25 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Henning | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Keeler | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Clark | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Hanson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cummard | 37 | 13-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 15 | - |
| J. Emery | 33 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Fredette | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Miles | 28 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 26 | 0-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Abouo | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Morgan Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter