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2008-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 2.4% 97.6% -
Bradley-Terry 1.7% 98.3% -
Margin 0.3% 99.7% +32.7 (9.3 off)

Actual: Baylor Bears +42 (85-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Williams 25 2-10 1-4 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 7 -1 -
C. Davis 25 2-7 2-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 6 4 -
B. Honore 24 2-11 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 -5 -
S. Wiley 21 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 3 4 0 2 6 7 -
B. Talley 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 0 0 -
G. Horne 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
E. Jones 14 0-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Davis 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
D. Scott 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
D. Griffin 10 2-4 1-3 1-2 3 1 0 1 5 6 2 -
M. Wollman 9 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
G. Guillory 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
J. Ingram 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
B. White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
D. Richardson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Dugat 36 4-8 0-1 5-8 10 9 3 0 3 13 24 -
C. Jerrells 32 5-8 2-4 1-3 2 1 5 0 5 13 8 -
L. Dunn 27 5-12 2-8 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 12 8 -
K. Rogers 25 5-8 0-0 3-6 4 1 2 0 1 13 11 -
Q. Acy 22 5-5 0-0 5-9 5 0 1 2 1 15 17 -
A. Jones 20 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 2 0 -
M. Diene 16 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 3 1 7 9 -
F. Ellis 16 1-4 0-1 4-6 4 0 2 1 0 6 9 -
D. Simpson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
J. Lomers 3 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 2 0 2 4 -

* = starter