Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +5.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -1 (71-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 31 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 26 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 26 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Davis | 18 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Young | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Baez | 16 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| I. Sosa | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Yotio | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Diakite | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| W. Weathers | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Danridge | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-13 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| R. Martinez | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Gary | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 10-13 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| P. McDonald | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Faris | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert | 18 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| W. Brown | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Wills | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Garth | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter