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2008-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 96.9% 3.1% -
Bradley-Terry 93.5% 6.5% -
Margin 97.5% 2.5% -20.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 80.3% 19.7% -
Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Log Adjusted 97.0% 3.0% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -8 (52-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 39 9-14 1-2 5-6 9 2 1 0 2 24 20 -
J. Trotter 31 2-7 1-4 1-3 1 3 1 0 2 6 2 -
R. Dixon 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
D. Rufful 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 3 -
E. Fitzgerald 19 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
D. Biber 17 2-8 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 -
R. Pride 13 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
H. Kouna 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
M. Sanders 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Graeber 7 0-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Weeden 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter