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2008-11-21

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 88.7% 11.3% -
Bradley-Terry 86.1% 13.9% -
Margin 91.5% 8.5% -13.1 (3.9 off)
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -17 (67-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lawson 32 6-7 2-2 5-10 3 3 3 0 2 19 19 -
W. Ellington 30 6-10 3-6 2-2 4 2 2 0 2 17 13 -
D. Thompson 29 6-11 0-0 0-3 10 0 2 1 1 12 13 -
D. Green 26 5-10 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 11 6 -
T. Hansbrough 25 2-8 0-1 9-10 7 2 1 1 2 13 14 -
E. Davis 23 3-5 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 3 10 5 -
B. Frasor 18 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 3 1 1 3 0 -3 -
W. Graves 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Drew II 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
P. Moody 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.B. Tanner 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Campbell 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Wooten 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Watts 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Powell 31 4-16 1-9 0-1 1 2 3 0 3 9 -4 -
C. Devine 27 2-6 0-1 0-1 1 4 1 0 4 4 0 -
J. Nunnally 26 8-15 3-4 3-3 7 0 1 1 2 22 14 -
P. Roemer 23 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 6 7 -
J. Byrd 21 4-5 0-0 4-4 5 0 2 0 1 12 13 -
W. Brew 20 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 6 1 -1 -
J. Serna 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 6 4 -
J. Weiner 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
G. Somogyi 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
D.J. Posley 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 0 3 -
S. Phippen 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Quick 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter