Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -17 (67-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson | 32 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 5-10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| W. Ellington | 30 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Thompson | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Green | 26 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| E. Davis | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Frasor | 18 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| W. Graves | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Moody | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Wooten | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Powell | 31 | 4-16 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -4 | - |
| C. Devine | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 26 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| P. Roemer | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Byrd | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| W. Brew | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Serna | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Weiner | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Posley | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Phippen | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Quick | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter