Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Fiddler | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Zampier | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| R. Morin | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| P. Braswell | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Pinick | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Gibson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Andrews | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Mantilla | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Nelson | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Willhite | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Anderson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Katz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Niedermeyer | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Knutson | 26 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| N. Raivio | 26 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| L. Sikma | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Stohl | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Ito | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Waterford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter