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2008-11-21

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -15 (73-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Colabella 0 3-8 0-1 6-6 6 1 4 1 2 12 14 -
M. Brokans 0 1-3 1-1 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 4 6 -
C. Cassidy 0 5-14 1-4 9-10 2 4 1 0 5 20 8 -
M. Kurowski 0 4-10 2-4 1-2 1 0 3 0 3 11 2 -
E. Brown 0 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 0 0-1 0-0 2-4 1 2 0 1 3 2 2 -
E. Ellis 0 5-10 0-0 3-8 6 0 1 0 3 13 7 -
K. York 0 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
M. Freeman 0 4-8 1-1 0-1 1 3 1 0 7 9 -1 -
S. Welton 0 2-9 0-0 5-5 3 4 2 0 2 9 7 -

* = starter