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2008-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (35.3 off)

Actual: North Florida Ospreys -34 (42-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelton 27 3-8 0-0 5-7 3 1 1 4 0 11 12 -
S. Lewis 24 3-12 0-3 0-0 7 2 3 0 2 6 4 -
L. Keeler 23 7-12 5-9 4-4 3 0 0 0 3 23 11 -
W. Dipprey 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 1 1 4 12 -
T. Clark 18 1-2 0-1 0-2 3 4 1 0 1 2 7 -
C. Anderson 18 2-7 2-4 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 8 10 -
C. Thomas 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
D. Hanson 16 3-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
B. Henning 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 2 -
J. Lewis 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1 -
J. Brown 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
R. Darling 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Titchenal 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lovelace 32 0-7 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -9 -
C. Riley 31 4-15 0-2 3-4 6 1 1 0 3 11 1 -
S. Januska 30 5-12 0-1 4-8 6 2 3 0 2 14 11 -
Z. Riggins 24 3-10 1-3 1-2 7 0 0 0 3 8 2 -
M. Sauey 24 1-1 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 3 4 8 -
G. Sparkes 23 0-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 4 1 -1 -
K. Groothuis 14 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Auerbacher 13 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
I. Gibson 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter