Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Volunteers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.7% | 14.3% | -9.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Prince | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| B. Maze | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Hopson | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Tatum | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Williams | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| W. Chism | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Tabb | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Negedu | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Woolridge | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Pearl | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Johnson | 39 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Kanaskie | 37 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Green | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| D. Yates | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Haddock | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Hudson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Avery | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Hair | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Boyd | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter