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2008-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Marshall Thundering Herd Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% -
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (18.6 off)

Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kately 29 6-14 1-2 2-3 3 0 0 0 3 15 1 -
J. Bolden 26 1-5 0-0 1-2 0 6 0 0 3 3 1 -
R. Myles 25 2-5 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 0 1 6 14 -
R. Barnes 21 2-2 1-1 4-9 2 1 3 0 3 9 10 -
K. Thompson 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 4 4 -
R. Holmes 20 4-11 3-6 3-3 4 0 2 0 4 14 5 -
T. Smith 18 3-4 1-1 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 9 11 -
S. Thomas 14 2-3 1-1 3-5 1 3 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Morgan 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Ali 7 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Foote 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Long 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Humphrey 36 6-9 0-1 5-8 9 2 1 0 4 17 16 -
C. Lutz 27 1-7 1-4 3-5 5 7 6 0 1 6 16 -
T. Baines 25 3-4 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 1 2 8 9 -
D. Pitts 23 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 4 -3 -
S. Johnson 22 5-9 2-6 1-3 4 0 1 1 3 13 7 -
D. Merthie 21 1-4 1-3 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
B. Powell 18 2-3 2-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 8 6 -
O. Spann 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Wilkerson 13 1-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
D. Pena 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Goode 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter