Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -15 (56-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 29 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| G. Henderson | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| N. Smith | 24 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| G. Paulus | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Thomas | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Williams | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. McClure | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Pocius | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Czyz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 32 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| D. Sims | 28 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Grady | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Douglass | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Wright | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Z. Novak | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Merritt | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter