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2008-11-21

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 85.6% 14.4% -
Bradley-Terry 80.9% 19.1% -
Margin 87.8% 12.2% -10.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 82.6% 17.4% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Log Adjusted 96.3% 3.7% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -17 (60-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 33 5-6 3-3 3-3 1 5 2 0 6 16 12 -
J. Shipp 31 4-9 0-1 3-3 4 2 2 0 0 11 10 -
J. Holiday 27 3-8 1-1 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 9 9 -
A. Aboya 24 6-8 0-0 10-13 8 0 1 1 1 22 23 -
J. Keefe 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
N. Dragovic 18 3-6 2-5 0-1 0 3 0 0 1 8 4 -
M. Roll 11 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Lee 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Gordon 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
J. Morgan 7 2-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
J. Anderson 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 34 3-4 1-1 0-1 2 8 1 0 5 7 9 -
K. Dillard 27 5-6 3-4 1-2 4 2 1 0 5 14 10 -
C. Fay 26 4-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 8 0 -
R. Hare 25 3-5 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
T. Boyle 19 2-9 0-0 6-6 3 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
W. Clemmons 18 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
A. Booker 16 2-6 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 1 3 5 2 -
J. Bocot 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Evans 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
C. Cornelius 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter