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2008-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Taylor 32 3-3 1-1 1-3 5 2 1 1 2 8 12 -
D. Carroll 31 7-13 0-1 3-7 3 2 3 0 3 17 9 -
M. Lawrence 29 3-13 2-10 1-1 2 0 1 1 0 9 0 -
J.T. Tiller 28 5-11 2-4 1-2 5 5 6 0 0 13 18 -
L. Lyons 23 5-9 0-0 5-10 1 3 3 1 1 15 13 -
M. Denmon 16 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. Safford 16 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
K. Ramsey 11 1-3 1-2 0-2 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
M. Paul 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. English 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown 36 4-7 2-4 6-7 7 3 0 0 2 16 17 -
D. Jackson 31 2-6 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 8 1 -
C.J. Anderson 30 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 4 6 2 -
B.J. Raymond 25 1-7 1-6 8-10 4 3 0 0 0 11 11 -
J. Love 21 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 6 10 -
T. Holloway 20 1-3 0-0 10-10 3 2 1 0 2 12 13 -
J. McLean 18 3-4 0-0 0-5 9 0 1 0 1 6 11 -
K. Frease 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 3 3 3 -
B. Redford 6 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
B. Walsh 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter