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2008-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 47.1% 52.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 87.5% 12.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% -
Log Adjusted 87.8% 12.2% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frazier 36 1-5 1-3 2-2 4 8 0 0 1 5 11 -
D. McCamey 35 9-18 5-10 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 23 14 -
M. Davis 32 3-12 0-0 5-5 12 0 0 1 2 11 10 -
T. Meacham 31 4-8 4-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 14 11 -
M. Tisdale 20 5-11 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 10 5 -
R. Semrau 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 0 3 -
C. Brock 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Jordan 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Keller 8 0-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 34 1-7 1-4 3-4 6 7 0 0 1 6 11 -
A.J. Ogilvy 32 5-11 0-1 3-5 7 0 0 3 2 13 10 -
J. Taylor 31 5-10 1-3 0-0 6 1 3 1 1 11 11 -
B. Tinsley 29 4-9 2-5 1-3 3 2 0 0 1 11 6 -
A. Walker 23 3-5 0-0 4-4 2 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
D. McClellan 20 1-4 0-0 1-3 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
F. Ezeli 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 3 7 6 -
G. Drake 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Duffy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter