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2008-11-20

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% -
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (55-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 36 5-10 1-3 2-2 3 5 1 0 4 13 8 -
A. Aboya 34 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Holiday 33 6-8 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 2 2 13 10 -
J. Shipp 26 2-9 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 6 5 -3 -
J. Keefe 23 2-3 1-1 0-2 8 0 0 1 0 5 11 -
N. Dragovic 18 4-10 2-6 1-1 3 1 0 1 0 11 6 -
M. Roll 15 0-3 0-2 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Lee 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Gordon 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Anderson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 35 5-13 2-7 3-4 5 4 3 2 4 15 12 -
D. Sims 28 9-15 0-3 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 18 9 -
A. Wright 27 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 2 6 -
S. Douglass 27 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 10 12 -
K. Grady 22 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Merritt 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Z. Gibson 17 1-5 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 1 1 3 0 -
Z. Novak 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 -
J. Shepherd 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C.J. Lee 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Minnfield 0 5-10 1-5 3-3 6 5 1 0 8 14 8 -
V. Hicks 0 0-3 0-1 0-1 6 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
A. Osborn 0 3-11 2-10 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 10 4 -
S. Skrba 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Queen 0 3-7 0-3 3-5 5 3 0 0 3 9 7 -

* = starter