Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.4% | 5.6% | -15.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -25 (58-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| G. Henderson | 25 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Singler | 23 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| N. Smith | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| G. Paulus | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| L. Thomas | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Williams | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. McClure | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Pocius | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O. Czyz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fay | 31 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | - |
| B. Mullins | 31 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Hare | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Dillard | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Evans | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Bocot | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Booker | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Boyle | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Cornelius | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Roundtree | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter